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The Fallacy of Funnels & Forecasts
Copyright © 2005, Frank Rumbauskas
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If there is one mainstay in virtually every sales office, it
would have to be funnels & forecasts. Sales managers swear by
them; however, I've found that they frequently do more harm than
good.
Funnels seem like a good idea in theory. The problem with
funnels, however, is that they practically scream
"micromanagement." Funnel reviews strike terror in the hearts of
salespeople. They scream the words "probation" and "performance
improvement plan." Sales managers who wish to succeed need to
learn some basic psychology, especially the principle of
autosuggestion. Doing so will make it very clear as to why the
very sound of the word funnel instantly changes salespeople's
attitudes from positive to negative and has very bad effects on
sales performance.
Forecasts also make sense in theory. After all, accurate
forecasting is a necessity for good business planning. The key
word, however, is accurate. If you believe that an accurate
sales forecast has ever existed then I've got a nice bridge for
sale just for you. Salespeople simply do not submit accurate
forecasts. Most salespeople grossly overestimate their forecasts
in order to appease their managers. After all, would you, as a
salesperson, want to face the wrath of submitting a forecast that
falls short of expectations? This is why dead deals and phony
deals tend to outnumber the real ones on forecasts. On the other
side of the coin, some salespeople underestimate forecasts simply
because they don't want a manager asking, "When is this one going
to sign? When is that one going to sign?" An overbearing
manager simply isn't worth dealing with so they leave good deals
off the forecast.
The other huge problem with funnels & forecasts is that they
force salespeople to manage their activity on a month-to-month
basis. This results in the horrendous practice of slacking off
at the beginning of every month, then working overtime at the end
of the month trying to get enough deals signed to make quota. It
just doesn't work in the real world. Successful top producers
work in the present, not in terms of "it's the beginning of the
month" or "it's the end of the month." Top producers are
consistent because today is neither the beginning nor the end of
the month. Today is today, and that means doing the same thing
today that they do every day to get the results they achieve.
Forget about funnels & forecasts. Manage with common sense
instead and watch your sales results skyrocket.
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Writer's Resource Box:
Frank Rumbauskas is the author of Cold Calling Is A Waste
Of Time: Sales Success In The Information Age. He is the
founder of FJR Advisors, LLC, which publishes training
materials that educate salespeople on how to generate
business without cold calling. For more information,
please visit http://www.nevercoldcall.com
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The article on this page is Copyright © 2005, Frank Rumbauskas
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